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Thread: UFC Betting Thread

  1. #1
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    UFC Betting Thread

    Aight, instead of making a new thread for each event here's one we can talk about all UFC events.

    My book doesn't do ALL fights (though it does do more for PPV events vs TV events) here is what it has for this weekend:

    4/20 - UFC on Fox 7
    Melendez +200
    Henderson -300

    Mir +280
    Cormier -460

    Thomson +160
    Diaz -320

    I like Henderson, but I think Melendez +200 isn't a terrible play if he pulls off the upset. I may put a small play on him.

    Similarly Mir +280 seems like a good play to me. I wouldn't touch Cormier -460. He seems like a $#@!y kid, and he very well may win, but Mir is no slouch and has never lost two in a row in his career. Cormier has been talking a lot about Jon Jones (as I mentioned in the main UFC on Fox 7 thread) and very well could get beat here. Will probably put .5u on Mir

    Don't like any action on Diaz/Thomson.

    May do a parlay with Diaz/Cormier/Henderson + some NHL/MLB game to bring the juice back down to earth depending on what looks good Sunday.

  • #2
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    My book put up the lines for UFC 159 finally:

    Sonnen +550
    Jones -900

    Belcher +130
    Bisping -170

    Kongo +170
    Nelson -240

    Magalhaes +225
    Davis -350

    Sonnen is almost worth a look here at +550 on the off chance he pulls off the upset of the century. I don't think he has a chance, but he is a great fighter and anything can happen.

    Also semi-interested in the Magalhaes line. Davis can be inconsistent and this is Magalhaes' big shot to make a name for himself. He's won 6-straight against nobodys but was the M1 LHW Champ so he's not terrible.

  • #3
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    Sonnen has gone up to +600. I'm still torn on putting just $20 on that just in case. If it goes up more I may have to. Especially if I'm having a good week through saturday.

  • #4
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    Belcher a good bet?

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    Last night's card was $#@!ed up. That belcher/bisping fight was boring as $#@! and then decided on an eye poke + cut.

    Magalahaes fought like a $#@!ing $#@!et and lost. I had 2 small parlays basically switching the Bisping/Belcher winner. I should've just bet the farm on Nelson like I thought. No way Kongo could've won that fight.

  • #6
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    Ellenberger +170 vs MacDonald, thoughts?

  • #7
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Phil Davis is +287, any thoughts?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Phil Davis is +287, any thoughts?
    Hope you pulled the trigger. I probably wouldn't have before the fight, so I'm glad I didn't see this and try to talk you out of it.

  • #9
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Durant Durant View Post
    Hope you pulled the trigger. I probably wouldn't have before the fight, so I'm glad I didn't see this and try to talk you out of it.
    I took it. Nothing big, but it was a nice win.

  • #10
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Got Rua in at +127. Favorites after that, Faber, Overeem and Matt Brown.

  • #11
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    Just got Rua at -150

  • #12
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    2-2 tonight. $#@!in Overeem. Rua didn't do $#@!.

  • #13
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    Haha Rua cool

  • #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Got Rua in at +127. Favorites after that, Faber, Overeem and Matt Brown.
    Quote Originally Posted by qwater25 View Post
    Just got Rua at -150
    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    2-2 tonight. $#@!in Overeem. Rua didn't do $#@!.
    Quote Originally Posted by qwater25 View Post
    Haha Rua cool
    damn. I posted in the UFC thread on Other Sports but not here. I've been all over BRowne over Reem since the fight was announced. Hit a nice little parlay with Faber/Browne/Sonnen, too.

  • #15
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Court McGee +120

  • #16
    Melancon +170
    Perez -160
    High -125
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)

  • #17
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    [QUOTE=scottsins;5623717]Melancon +170
    Perez -160
    High -125
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)[/QUO


    Got Cerrone -145,Perez -157
    Last edited by Chief21; 08-28-2013 at 01:05 PM.

  • #18
    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    Melancon +170
    Perez -160
    High -125
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)
    Jason High just choked out Head in 1st round.

  • #19
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    Nice! I like Condit tonight, don't think he drops 3 straight. Don't know about Hioki - Elkins is legit and was on a nice run before Mendes got him (Mendes is a top 3 FW in the world, so that's not a big surprise).

  • #20
    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    Melancon +170
    Perez -160
    High -125 - WIN
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285 LOSS
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)
    Cerrone down to -105. Any weird rumors going around about him regarding this fight?

  • #21
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    If I hit on a couple of early fights, I'll drop a lil on Condit.

  • #22
    $#@!ing split decision. Perez loses to sneaky jap.

  • #23
    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    Melancon +170 LOSS
    Perez -160 LOSS
    High -125 WIN
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285 LOSS
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)
    well $#@! this card. I wasn't to deep in this one. Saturday, I'll be balls deep.

  • #24
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    well $#@! this card. I wasn't to deep in this one. Saturday, I'll be balls deep.
    Damn. Rough night. Looks like I'm heading to 1-2. $#@!in Cerrone.

  • #25
    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    Melancon +170 LOSS
    Perez -160 LOSS
    High -125 WIN
    Cerrone -155
    Hioki by decision +285 LOSS
    Kampmann by submission (really small play)
    I was pretty light on all of this so ill survive. I'll be balls deep on Saturday.
    Cerrone can not establish anything at all against dos santos.

  • #26
    And dos santos gets the UD.
    Last edited by scottsins; 08-28-2013 at 10:26 PM.

  • #27
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    I was pretty light on all of this so ill survive. I'll be balls deep on Saturday.
    Cerrone can not establish anything at all against dos santos.
    Yeah. I was half unit on each.

  • #28
    I did hedge last minute on some Condit ITD and Round 5 won't start. Round 3 just ended. The is no way Condit shouldn't end it in the 4th.

  • #29
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Small play on Okami +225

  • #30
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    My book just got odds for 165 -

    Jones -680, Gustafsson +430
    Wineland +350, Barao -600
    Healy +160, Nurmagomedov -220

    I am kind of interested in Nurmagomedov. I told myself if it was under -200 i'd get on it, but that's a lot of juice. I really like Nurmagomedov in that fight though...

  • #31
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    Nurmagomedov is at -250 now - any reason I shouldn't get on that vs Pat Healy?

  • #32
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Thinking of a small play on Shaub +102.

  • #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Thinking of a small play on Shaub +102.
    I like Schaub too. I did a small parlay with Khabib/Schaub/Barao/JBJ.

  • #34
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Durant Durant View Post
    I like Schaub too. I did a small parlay with Khabib/Schaub/Barao/JBJ.
    Dammit...Shaub moved to -107
    Last edited by Chief21; 09-19-2013 at 06:06 PM.

  • #35
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    Pulled the trigger on Nurmegomedov by decision +160 right before the event started. He delivered! Also hit my small parlay - despite Jones' best efforts.

  • #36
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    Next event is a UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields - not much I really like there except maybe Thiago Silva over Hamill. I think Maia wins, but nothing I feel super confident about.

    Curious what the line is/will be for JDS/Cain 3 - Really like Cain, and expect a repeat of the 2nd fight. I imagine Cain will be favored, but I'm hoping not by much. If it's under -180 I'll get on it for sure. Also like Melendez/Sanchez to go the distance on that card (And Gil to win). And I may throw $20 on Nelson by KO just because, $#@! DANIEL CORMIER!

  • #37
    Bellator tonight:

    Risking about 4-5 units on Tirloni.
    Risking 3 units on a parlay of Kirk/Warren over 2.5 rounds and Sarnavsky

  • #38
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    Quote Originally Posted by scottsins View Post
    Bellator tonight:

    Risking about 4-5 units on Tirloni.
    Risking 3 units on a parlay of Kirk/Warren over 2.5 rounds and Sarnavsky
    Don't know much about any of these guys (except that Marcus Davis sucks). Sarnavsky looks like a good play but is -550 so I'm a little hesitant. Dude looks like a finisher though 13 subs, 6 kos in 23 wins. Wow. Do you know much about Sarnavsky? His loss is a split decision to Rich Clementi in his Bellator debut, according to Wikipedia the scoring was 29-28, 28-29, and 30-26...how the $#@! does that happen?

  • #39
    Samarvsky just murdered that guy. Tirloni won in a decision. Looked solid. Now is like main event to go the distance.

  • #40
    Missed on the parlay. Warren had a real plan. He's still psycho. Love watching him. I think he threw 10 jump knees in the first round .

  • #41
    asshat Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant's Avatar
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    Leaning towards playing Mark Godbeer +325 vs Cheick Kongo on Bellator 102. He's finished all his fights and has 6 KOs. Kongo has had trouble with power punchers in the past (Hunt, Nelson)

  • #42
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Jake Shields +225 , he got a shot against Maia?

  • #43
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Durant Durant View Post
    Leaning towards playing Mark Godbeer +325 vs Cheick Kongo on Bellator 102. He's finished all his fights and has 6 KOs. Kongo has had trouble with power punchers in the past (Hunt, Nelson)
    Interesting.

  • #44
    asshat Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Jake Shields +225 , he got a shot against Maia?
    He definitely does, but I still like Maia to win. Maia has been very impressive since moving down to WW. Shields is...average, at best. Maia has something to fight for, he wins this and he's gotta be real close to a title shot at WW.

    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Interesting.
    Put .5u on Godbeer at +350 25/88

  • #45
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Small play on Godbeer +400

  • #46
    asshat Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant's Avatar
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    Let's go Godbeer!

  • #47
    asshat Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21 is probably pretty witty. or good at photoshop. or porn. Chief21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Small play on Godbeer +400
    Well $#@! me running.

  • #48
    asshat Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chief21 View Post
    Well $#@! me running.
    Is it over already? The results I'm viewing online haven't said anything.

  • #49
    asshat Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant Shaggy Gold Club Durant Durant's Avatar
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    Damn. $#@!ing Godbeer.

  • #50
    Erick Silva -194 5u
    Erick Silva wins in round 1 +225 1u
    Beltran +145 3u
    Pierce ITD +125 2.5u
    Shields +255 3.5u

    All these are units risked
    Last edited by scottsins; 10-09-2013 at 06:19 PM.

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