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bring it the fuck on bitches...
here's to hoping Fort Worth sees some rain out of this weak ass motherfucker...
Here's to rain in the Texas panhandle.
It got windy as hell this evening here in Rockport.
The remnants of Gaston are likely to reform into a tropical cyclone around the Leeward Islands later today. Maybe it'll head our way as well.
That is one ugly tropical storm. Also, it's name is Hermine? What the hell kind of name is Hermine?
George wanted to name it seven.
Tailgates for Wyoming look to be safe.
Hermine is gonna drop a good 3-4 inches at least on Austin. Yup, even Austin's well-known Rain IUD forcefield won't be able to prevent the billions of little swimmers from getting through. Could also be also some good wind through Austin Tue-Wed (20-30 mph gusts). This is going apparently just west of Austin so we'll be in line for its more active east side, if the track holds up.
Don't water your lawn today, it's gonna get a good soaking. [men's]I guarantee it.[/wearhouse]
Nah, better move the game just to be sure.Originally Posted by gecko
Board up the windows at the Co-op.
From the inside...
Raining and blowing pretty decent in Lake Jackson. Hope it follows me back to Austin.
Last edited by The Eyes; 09-06-2010 at 12:43 PM.
and i do not apologize for the size.
How long until HEB runs out of bottled water and batteries because everyone in Austin flips out over what will end up being an afternoon thunderstorm?
Hahaha, wow. I didn't even know a Tropical Storm was heading up towards SA/Austin until I just looked at my local radar on ForecastFox.
We're gonna get a full 'cane, I'm 99% sure...
Tropical Storm Hermine Forecast/Advisory Number 3
000
WTNT25 KNHC 061431
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010
1500 UTC MON SEP 06 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM RIO SAN
FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND A HURRICANE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO PORT
OCONNOR.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTH OF LA CRUZ.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
ABOUT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 95.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 95.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 95.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.9N 96.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.0N 98.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.1N 99.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.4N 100.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 36.0N 99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 95.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI
$$
weather underground disagrees as of 1 pm
The dumbasses can buy the water and batteries. I'll buy the shrimp and steaks...
My posting was at 2 pm CT, this thing is getting stronger a lot faster than forecast yesterday. It's 100% that it has the juice to get to hurricane strength (IMHO a big one) except for its proximity to land. The only question is when it makes landfall... if it nudges NE at all and delays landfall for 6-10 hrs., I guarantee you it'll be near 100mph. More likely it'll hit overnight near the Rio Grande mouth and be a low Cat 1 (74-80 mph) and will unwind quickly.
I still think it'll get up to hurricane speed, it went up 12 mph in only about 6 hours, pressure is still dropping pretty quickly. A nasty little punch coming, whatever it gets to...
pos rep
Man, I would love some rain here in Austin.
Good, 'cause we're getting it. No doubt on this one.
(insert "now we definitely won't have rain" smack, but yes, yes we will. Unless Hermine does some weirdass turn that defies meterological physics, again yes, yes we will. As in 2-5 inches for most of Travis Co. and neighbors.).
The rio grande valley has a magnet attracting these storms this year. Guess we got away the past few years that this is our year.
Will there be 1500 dead people in the trees? (Just a little dig for KE.)
Well, he sees 'em:
4:30 p.m. CDT pressure at around 989mb mid level, an eyewall is clearly forming (sha-ZAM!). The only thing stopping this from being a hurricane is time and direction. It's taking an expected wobble as it strengthens, a jog N from NW, mostly moving NNW about 11 mph.
It clearly has the juice and energy to go Cat 1, it's just if it hits land before arriving at hurricane strength. I say it'll make it unless movement speed and/or direction change.
we got a pretty heavy rain storm around 4 today and now because of Hermie or whatever his name is we have 70% chance tomorrow of heavy rain and 20-30 mph winds.
your year? a cat 1 and a TS are barely more than an all day rain event.
Fuck this. I hate walking the mile to class in the rain.
Dolly?
Shit everything floods down here....If your not in it, a cat 1 can still be a pain with the clean up and flooding it leaves behind.
all hurricanes hittting texas need to make land fall in kennedy county
Update 9 p.m. CDT:
Hermine continued to rapidly strengthen, but picked up speed and has just made landfall about 45 m south of the Mexican/U.S. border. It picked up forward speed to 14 mph and, after turning more NNW made a turn more NW to its present landfall location. Maximum sustained winds 65 kph (5 kph up from about 2 hours ago). While its well-developing eyewall showed all the signs of developing hurricane construction, it simply hit land about 4-5 hours earlier than most models expected, so it just missed Cat 1 strength and maximized as a high-end tropical storm.
For Tuesday, South and South Central Texas should expect moderate to periods of extremely heavy rain, gusty winds to about 30 mph, and a small chance of brief tropical tornadoes as the storm encounters the typical friction over land. The current track puts the San Antonio-Austin corridor on the dirty (east) side of the storm, which usually experiences more significant rainfall and wind. Rainfall amounts should average 2-3 inches with as much as a foot in isloated spots, mostly towards South Texas as the storm wealkens. All in all it should be a pretty rainy and breezy 36-48 hours starting early Tues. a.m. Don't expect much in the way of damage save for possible flooding in isolated areas. But it's gonna be wet!
looks like I need to get new wiper blades tomorrow.
yay more rain
God damn it. Tuesday is one of my days to walk dogs at the shelter.
1234
I don't think the heavy stuff's gonna come down for quite some time now
Ratfarts!
This storm was supposed to go over Laredo once it made landfall, now it looks like its heading just east of SA on a due N or NNE path. Austin may be seeing the eye this afternoon.
We've had just crazy rain all morning in Dallas. I really fear we're going to get to put our substandard levees to the test.
it's rainingmensperm?
I have already bought all the bottled water, batteries, and canned tuna that HEB had to offer. When the Herminepocalypse comes, none of you are welcome in my bunker. My family and I will happily take what is left of your worldly possessions from your bloated corpses once this nightmare is over.
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1046 AM CDT TUE SEP 7 2010
TXZ204>207-219>224-071645-
ATASCOSA-BEXAR-COMAL-DEWITT-FRIO-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-KARNES-MEDINA-
WILSON-
1046 AM CDT TUE SEP 7 2010
...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS MOVING INTO
ATASCOSA...BEXAR...COMAL...DEWITT...FRIO...GONZALE S...GUADALUPE...
KARNES...MEDINA AND WILSON COUNTIES...
AT 1042 AM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE NEAR CAMPBELLTON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.
PEOPLE IN BEXAR...EASTERN MEDINA...GUADALUPE...NORTHEASTERN FRIO...
NORTHERN ATASCOSA...NORTHERN KARNES...SOUTHEASTERN COMAL...WESTERN
DEWITT...WESTERN GONZALES AND WILSON COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LACKLAND AFB AND LEON VALLEY...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.
WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
Yup. see the NNE track the past hour. Depending upon the amt. of dry air it can suck in, Austin could get a few inches or a bunch (more like 6-7 inches). Probably a little windier starting about noon or so here. 20-30 mph is possible. Most of the heavier rain would fall about mid-afternoon into late evening. Be ready.
Now you know why even in Austin I'm always wary of a big 'cane plowing up here. When Ike was making a beeline for Corpus and eventually Austin, I was ready to shit my pants. A Cat 3 hitting the coast w/120 mph winds, moving fast up Texas (like 15 mph or greater) would still hit Austin within 8 hours and winds of 70-90 mph. Ike made that stunning hard right when hitting the coast and we didn't even get clouds!
So I guess the good news is that this storm, making a beeline for SA/Austin, is weak (though not unravelling as fast as some, it's obvious it was really ramping up when hitting the coast and those take awhile to wind down). Within the next hour or two the Tropical Storm show should really ramp up here in Austin (wind, rain bands, etc.). I'm thinking 3-4 inches out here in Lakeway/Bee Cave areas. and windier than I thought yesterday.
Keep your cornholes dry. Meanwhile I'm going to get some wind readings south of Austin.
Ruh-roh, tornado for aggy:
Fortunately these tropical tornadoes don't last long and are pretty weak, but can cause damage and lots of agony. Well here's hoping aggy doesn't get a big hit...BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1104 AM CDT TUE SEP 7 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
* AT 1100 AM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO.
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COLLEGE STATION... MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WIXON VALLEY...COLLEGE STATION AND BRYAN.
Already got 2 inches out at my place and it doesn't look to let up anytime soon.
Been raining pretty good all day in Austin. Winds are really picking up now. We're all gonna die.
that dry slot looks to be heading straight for Austin
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